Grappling oddsmaker Ozzy Perez just sent out his opening betting odds for Fight 2 Win 144 moments ago, as well as a write-up on the top two matches. Lucas Barbosa vs Rafael Lovato 'Rafael Lovato Jr was forced to retire from MMA undefeated and as the Bellator world champion. UFC Fight Night 144 also known as UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2, UFC Fight Night on ESPN+ 2, or UFC Fortaleza will be held on February 2, 2019 at Centro de Formacao Olimpica do Nordeste in Fortaleza, Brazil. In MMA, Over/Under bets are based on the total rounds the fight lasts. If the Over/Under is 2.5 rounds, you'd choose a side and hope the fight lasted more (over) or less (under) than 2.5 rounds. Other types of interesting MMA bets include round betting, and the always entertaining method-of-victory bet.
The next major MMA event takes place on Saturday night, with UFC Fight Night live from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.
The main event features No. 2-ranked Curtis Blaydes meeting No. 4-ranked Derrick Lewis in heavyweight action.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Lewis now takes place on February 20. Looking at the Blaydes vs Lewis odds, it is the wrestling-heavy Blaydes who is the large favorite while the hard-hitting fan favorite Lewis comes back as an underdog. We have the full UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Lewis odds and predictions below. SBGGlobal.eu » UFC » UFC Fight Night 144: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 Odds & Picks. January 30th, 2019 Sportsbook, UFC. Revenge is a dish best served cold.
As always with a UFC event, there are certainly plenty of bets to be made. Let's take a look at some of them.
UFC Fight Night odds for Blaydes vs. Lewis
Curtis Blaydes: -450
Derrick Lewis: +333
(All odds via BetMGM)
BetMGM has Blaydes installed as a massive favorite — as of Wednesday he comes in at -450, meaning you'd need to bet $450 to win $100. Meanwhile, Lewis is a +333, meaning if you pluck down $100, you'd win $333.
Blaydes (14-2, one no-contest) enters the contest on a four-fight winning streak, including a unanimous decision win over No. 5-ranked Alexander Volkov in a UFC Fight Night headliner back in June. A win against Lewis would move Blaydes toward his first UFC title shot.
Lewis (24-7, one no-contest), a former heavyweight title challenger, is on a good run of his own. The Texas native has won three consecutive bouts, including a second-round TKO victory against No. 10-ranked Aleksei Oleinik in a UFC Fight Night main event back in August. Getting a victory over Blaydes would give 'The Black Beast' another opportunity at UFC gold after losing by second-round submission to Daniel Cormier at UFC 230 in November 2018.
When you look at Blaydes and Lewis' respective resumes and fighting styles, you can see why the oddsmakers are all in on the former. Blaydes' ground game is second to none and the best in the heavyweight division. Look at what he did to Mark Hunt and Alexander Volkov. He took them down at will, suffocated, mauled, and beat them up the entire way.
Suppose guys are stuffing Blaydes' takedown attempts or somehow getting back up to their feet. In that case, the Illinois native has no problem letting his hands go and slinging the leather, evidenced by the destructive TKO wins over ranked contenders Oleinik, Alistair Overeem, and former champion Junior dos Santos.
Plain and simple, Lewis is a one-trick pony. He's looking for the knockout for the duration of the fight. Out of his 24 career wins, 19 of them have come by knockout, with 11 coming in the UFC. Lewis is always one punch away from putting your lights out — with his last-second KO of Volkov at UFC 229 in a fight he was down on the scorecards.
In the buildup to Saturday night, Blaydes' made it clear that he would try and take Lewis down and batter him for his path to victory, understanding the Texan possesses uncanny power.
Does Lewis have a chance? Of course, he does. It is a fight, and anything can happen. Blaydes will get Lewis down and wear him down to the point of exhaustion. From there, it will be up to Blaydes on how he wants to finish things off as he will extend his winning streak to five.
You gain nothing from betting Blaydes unless you have an excessive amount of money to waste. Take a flyer on Lewis, as those odds are too good to pass up on a guy whose ranked number four in the weight class.
Overeem vs. Volkov prediction
Muehlhausen pick: Curtis Blaydes
Best odds: Derrick Lewis to win by KO/TKO, Submission or DQ: +450
More Overeem vs. Volkov odds
Total number or rounds: over/under
Over 1.5: -185
Under 1.5: +155
Will the fight go the distance?
Yes: +260
No: -350
Method of victory
Blaydes by KO/TKO/DQ or submission: -165
Blaydes by decision: +340
Tie/technical tie: +5000
Lewis by KO/TKO/DQ or submission: +400
Lewis by decision: +1600
- January 31, 2021
- By Adam Lykkesteen
- Vegasinsider.com
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov Odds & Analysis
- Date: Saturday, Feb. 6, 2021
- TV-Time:ESPN/ESPN+, 8:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: UFC Apex
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Let's have a look at this fight from a bettor's perspective.
We got an 8-year age discrepancy between the fighters, but I don't think that will play into this fight.
Alistair Overeem is a bit of a statistical outlier when it comes to age, as he seems to have entered his UFC career's peak in his last five fights. If not for that controversial last-second KO to Rozenstruik, Overeem would be on a 5-fight win streak, 3 of those wins as an underdog.
Historically in the heavyweight division, the underdogs have cashed more often than in any other weight division, giving us some value on Overeem. Alistair has shown his ability to upset the bookies before.
Alexander Volkov tends to use his reach to pick his competition apart from the outside and has no problem going to a decision to do so. In the UFC, half of his wins have come via decision, which is quite irregular for a heavyweight.
I usually like fighters who are statistical outliers and use it to their advantage in order to win. However, whether it's a lack of power or simply a matter of game-planning, Volkov's tendency to drag fights to a decision will not do him well against Overeem. On the contrary.
At this point in his career, Alistair's biggest weakness is facing someone who can blitz him early and shut his lights off before he can settle and get into his rhythm. Once he gets going, his veteran experience and knowledge of the game often earn him the win.
Since 2015, Overeem has gone past the first round 9 times and has won 7 of those times.
If Volkov wants a drawn-out fight that goes into the championship rounds, he is doing Alistair a favor. The superior grappling of ‘The Demolition Man' could very well be put on display if the fight goes the distance.
The value is on Alistair Overeem as the underdog in this matchup.
Overeem vs. Volkov Betting Odds
Volkov remains a healthy -175 favorite over Overeem and we haven't seen much movement in this market after opening on January 13.
| Odds: Overeem vs. Volkov | ||||||||||||
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Overeem vs. Volkov Total Rounds
While most betting shops are offering 1.5 Rounds for this heavyweight clash, BetMGM is providing three different options with adjusted money for the five-round fight.
- Over 1.5 (-200) Under 1.5 (+165)
- Over 2.5 (+110) Under 2.5 (-135)
- Over 4.5 (+240) Under 4.5 (-300)
The consensus feeling is that this fight won't make the championship rounds (4th, 5th) and should be over within 15 minutes.
Overeem vs. Volkov Betting Insights
Age: Alexander Volkov is eight years younger than Alistair Overeem.
Experience: Since 2015, Overeem has won 7 out of 9 of his fights that have gone past round one.
Grappling: Overeem is the superior grappler in 3 of 4 statistical categories, only bested in takedown accuracy.
UFC Betting Odds History - Overeem vs. Volkov
Alistair Overeem (Last 5)
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai
(W) Alistair Overeem -172 vs. Augusto Sakai +140
Fight Night 144 Odds Ncaa Basketball
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris
(W) Alistair Overeem +137 vs. Walt Harris -164
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
(L) Alistair Overeem +125 vs. Jairzinho Rosenstruik -152
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
(W) Alistair Overeem -250 vs. Aleksei Oleinik +200
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
(W) Alistair Overeem +118 vs. Sergey Pavlovich -139
Alexander Volkov (Last 5)
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
(W) Alexander Volkov -189 vs. Walt Harris (+162)
UFC on ESPN 11: Blaydes vs. Volkov
(L) Alexander Volkov +300 vs. Curtis Blaydes -400
UFC on ESPN+ 21: Zabit vs. Kattar
(W) Alexander Volkov -333 vs. Greg Hardy +250
UFC 229: Nurmagomedov vs. McGregor
(W) Alexander Volkov -175 vs. Derrick Lewis +150
UFC Fight Night 127: Werdum vs. Volkov
(W) Alexander Volkov +180 vs. Fabricio Werdum -205
Overeem vs. Volkov Fight Breakdown and Pick
The winner of this fight will be a step closer to a shot at the title.
While the scheduled bout between Ciryl Gane and Jairzinho Rozenstruik might determine who is the #1 ranked heavyweight, Overeem's name recognition and -value will probably lead him to a title fight if he beats Volkov in impressive fashion. For Volkov, I see at least one or two more wins on top of Overeem if he wants a go at the champion.
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Whoever can impose their gameplan on the other fighter will win this bout. Overeem will most likely look to grapple, whereas Volkov will look to keep the fight standing and finish Alistair. On the feet, Volkov has a higher striking differential than Overeem, but on the ground, ‘The Demolition Man' will definitely be able to have his way with the Russian, granted he gets the fight there.
The problem I see for Volkov is that he is the one that has to prevent something from happening.
Overeem probably won't have an issue standing with Volkov, but the Russian will have a problem on the ground with the underdog. I feel Volkov needs to pull a first-round KO out of the hat to win here, and I don't see that happening based on the fact that he's only managed one first-round KO in the last 6 years, and it wasn't even in the UFC.
My early lean has me going with Overeem to cash as the underdog against Volkov.
UFC Fight Night - Co-Main Event Breakdown
Cory Sandhagen vs. Frankie Edgar
The co-main event of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov features a classic veteran vs. up-and-comer matchup. Frankie Edgar, 39, made his UFC bantamweight debut in his last fight, earning an impressive underdog win over #8 ranked Pedro Munhoz. Edgar is 2-3 in his last 5.
On the other side of the cage, we've got 135-pound striking prospect Cory Sandhagen, who is coming off a second-round KO win over hard-hitting striker Marlon Moraes. Standing 5'1'' tall, Sandhagen is unusually tall for the UFC's bantamweight division, and will tower over the 5'6'' Edgar.
A win over Edgar sets up Sandhagen for a bout against the winner of Petr Yan vs. Aljamain Sterling, while a win over Sandhagen throws Frankie Edgar into the title mix in his new weight division.
Join me in breaking down the co-main event of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov, between Cory Sandhagen and Frankie Edgar.
Sandhagen vs. Edgar Betting Odds
As expected, Sandhagen is a very large favorite over Edgar who could likely get underdog support from casual UFC bettors just based on his name.
| Odds: Sandhagen vs. Edgar | ||||||||||||
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Sandhagen vs. Edgar Betting Analysis
The betting line being this wide tells me that bookies and bettors believe that Edgar is on his way out, and I don't really disagree with that. Edgar is 39 years old and peaked back in 2010 when he captured and defended the lightweight title. Problem is, we are in 2021 now, and I feel like Edgar's skill set hasn't evolved since the 2010 era of UFC fighting.
Big reach and height advantages for Sandhagen, along with one of the highest striking differentials in the UFC today makes ‘Sandman' the rightful favorite.
My only concern is Sandhagen's lacklustre takedown defense. His mindset seems to be that he has no problem going to the ground because he believes in his ability to scramble back to his feet. That didn't work well for him against Sterling, however, Edgar is not the same submission wiz, but can still grind out a lay-and-pray decision if Sandhagen is not careful.
Still, I see very few indications that Edgar is a valuable bet, and even at -400 I honestly believe the value is on the 11-year younger fighter, but not H2H. For value, I recommend looking at the Sandhagen by decision lines when they open.
Sandhagen vs. Edgar Betting Insights
Age: Cory Sandhagen is 11 years younger than Frankie Edgar. In matchups with an 11-year gap, the youngster wins 7 out of 10 times.
Striking Wiz: Sandhagen has one of the highest active striking differentials in the UFC, meaning that he dishes out significantly more strikes compared to what he absorbs.
UFC Betting Odds History - Sandhagen vs. Edgar
Cory Sandhagen (Last 5)
Fight Night 144 Odds For Today
UFC on ESPN+ 37: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
(W) Cory Sandhagen -152 vs. Marlon Moraes
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
(L) Cory Sandhagen -111 vs. Aljamain Sterling -111
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
(W) Cory Sandhagen -250 vs. Raphael Assuncao +200
UFC on ESPN+ 8: Jacare vs. Hermansson
(W) Cory Sandhagen +125 vs. John Lineker -152
UFC on ESPN+ 1: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
(W) Cory Sandhagen -500 vs. Mario Bautista +380
Frankie Edgar (Last 5)
Fight Night 144 Odds Explained
Alistair Overeem (Last 5)
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai
(W) Alistair Overeem -172 vs. Augusto Sakai +140
Fight Night 144 Odds Ncaa Basketball
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris
(W) Alistair Overeem +137 vs. Walt Harris -164
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
(L) Alistair Overeem +125 vs. Jairzinho Rosenstruik -152
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
(W) Alistair Overeem -250 vs. Aleksei Oleinik +200
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
(W) Alistair Overeem +118 vs. Sergey Pavlovich -139
Alexander Volkov (Last 5)
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
(W) Alexander Volkov -189 vs. Walt Harris (+162)
UFC on ESPN 11: Blaydes vs. Volkov
(L) Alexander Volkov +300 vs. Curtis Blaydes -400
UFC on ESPN+ 21: Zabit vs. Kattar
(W) Alexander Volkov -333 vs. Greg Hardy +250
UFC 229: Nurmagomedov vs. McGregor
(W) Alexander Volkov -175 vs. Derrick Lewis +150
UFC Fight Night 127: Werdum vs. Volkov
(W) Alexander Volkov +180 vs. Fabricio Werdum -205
Overeem vs. Volkov Fight Breakdown and Pick
The winner of this fight will be a step closer to a shot at the title.
While the scheduled bout between Ciryl Gane and Jairzinho Rozenstruik might determine who is the #1 ranked heavyweight, Overeem's name recognition and -value will probably lead him to a title fight if he beats Volkov in impressive fashion. For Volkov, I see at least one or two more wins on top of Overeem if he wants a go at the champion.
Whoever can impose their gameplan on the other fighter will win this bout. Overeem will most likely look to grapple, whereas Volkov will look to keep the fight standing and finish Alistair. On the feet, Volkov has a higher striking differential than Overeem, but on the ground, ‘The Demolition Man' will definitely be able to have his way with the Russian, granted he gets the fight there.
The problem I see for Volkov is that he is the one that has to prevent something from happening.
Overeem probably won't have an issue standing with Volkov, but the Russian will have a problem on the ground with the underdog. I feel Volkov needs to pull a first-round KO out of the hat to win here, and I don't see that happening based on the fact that he's only managed one first-round KO in the last 6 years, and it wasn't even in the UFC.
My early lean has me going with Overeem to cash as the underdog against Volkov.
UFC Fight Night - Co-Main Event Breakdown
Cory Sandhagen vs. Frankie Edgar
The co-main event of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov features a classic veteran vs. up-and-comer matchup. Frankie Edgar, 39, made his UFC bantamweight debut in his last fight, earning an impressive underdog win over #8 ranked Pedro Munhoz. Edgar is 2-3 in his last 5.
On the other side of the cage, we've got 135-pound striking prospect Cory Sandhagen, who is coming off a second-round KO win over hard-hitting striker Marlon Moraes. Standing 5'1'' tall, Sandhagen is unusually tall for the UFC's bantamweight division, and will tower over the 5'6'' Edgar.
A win over Edgar sets up Sandhagen for a bout against the winner of Petr Yan vs. Aljamain Sterling, while a win over Sandhagen throws Frankie Edgar into the title mix in his new weight division.
Join me in breaking down the co-main event of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov, between Cory Sandhagen and Frankie Edgar.
Sandhagen vs. Edgar Betting Odds
As expected, Sandhagen is a very large favorite over Edgar who could likely get underdog support from casual UFC bettors just based on his name.
| Odds: Sandhagen vs. Edgar | ||||||||||||
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Sandhagen vs. Edgar Betting Analysis
The betting line being this wide tells me that bookies and bettors believe that Edgar is on his way out, and I don't really disagree with that. Edgar is 39 years old and peaked back in 2010 when he captured and defended the lightweight title. Problem is, we are in 2021 now, and I feel like Edgar's skill set hasn't evolved since the 2010 era of UFC fighting.
Big reach and height advantages for Sandhagen, along with one of the highest striking differentials in the UFC today makes ‘Sandman' the rightful favorite.
My only concern is Sandhagen's lacklustre takedown defense. His mindset seems to be that he has no problem going to the ground because he believes in his ability to scramble back to his feet. That didn't work well for him against Sterling, however, Edgar is not the same submission wiz, but can still grind out a lay-and-pray decision if Sandhagen is not careful.
Still, I see very few indications that Edgar is a valuable bet, and even at -400 I honestly believe the value is on the 11-year younger fighter, but not H2H. For value, I recommend looking at the Sandhagen by decision lines when they open.
Sandhagen vs. Edgar Betting Insights
Age: Cory Sandhagen is 11 years younger than Frankie Edgar. In matchups with an 11-year gap, the youngster wins 7 out of 10 times.
Striking Wiz: Sandhagen has one of the highest active striking differentials in the UFC, meaning that he dishes out significantly more strikes compared to what he absorbs.
UFC Betting Odds History - Sandhagen vs. Edgar
Cory Sandhagen (Last 5)
Fight Night 144 Odds For Today
UFC on ESPN+ 37: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
(W) Cory Sandhagen -152 vs. Marlon Moraes
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
(L) Cory Sandhagen -111 vs. Aljamain Sterling -111
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
(W) Cory Sandhagen -250 vs. Raphael Assuncao +200
UFC on ESPN+ 8: Jacare vs. Hermansson
(W) Cory Sandhagen +125 vs. John Lineker -152
UFC on ESPN+ 1: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
(W) Cory Sandhagen -500 vs. Mario Bautista +380
Frankie Edgar (Last 5)
Fight Night 144 Odds Explained
UFC on ESPN 15: Munhoz vs. Edgar
(W) Frankie Edgar +225 vs. Pedro Munhoz -278
UFC on ESPN+ 23: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie
(L) Frankie Edgar +150 vs. Chan Sung Jung -175
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
(L) Frankie Edgar +275 vs. Max Holloway -325
UFC Fight Night 128: Barboza vs. Lee
(W) Frankie Edgar -269 vs. Cub Swanson +241
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
(L) Frankie Edgar -152 vs. Brian Ortega +138
Sandhagen vs. Edgar Fight Breakdown and Pick
While it's hard not to root for Edgar as the veteran he is, I can't see him getting the W over Sandhagen on February 6th.
While lackluster on paper, Sandhagen's takedown defense of 30% does not account for times he's gotten back to his feet. Edgar can not win this fight by striking with Sandhagen. In order to win on the scorecards, Edgar would need control time upwards of 2.30 minutes in at least 3 of the 5 scheduled rounds.
Frankie could very well get the better of Sandhagen early on, but as the fight goes on I foresee panic wrestling from ‘The Answer', and Sandhagen pulling ahead on the scorecards, utilizing his large striking toolbox.
I'm predicting that Sandhagen gets his hand raised against Frankie Edgar, in the co-main event of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov, on February 6th.
UFC Fight Night (UFC Vegas 18) Fight Card
Along with the two main events, there are currently nine other fights on tap for the UFC Fight Night card in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Listed below are the 'opening odds' on those fights per the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
Check out these numbers, then the updated odds to see where the money is going.
Flyweight: Alexandre Pantoja (-135) vs. Manel Kape (+110)
Bantamweight: Cody Stamann (-500) vs. Andre Ewell (+360)
Lightweight: Carlos Diego Ferreira (-120) vs. Beneil Dariush (+100)
Lightweight: Michael Johnson (-225) vs. Clay Guida (+180)
Light Heavyweight: Mike Rodríguez (-250) vs. Danilo Marques (+200)
Featherweight: Timur Valiev (-375) vs. Martin Day (+290)
Catchweight (160 lb): Devonte Smith (-300) vs. Justin Jaynes(+240)
Women's Bantamweight: Karol Rosa (-250) vs. Joselyne Edwards (+200)
Women's Flyweight: Molly McCann (-160)vs. Lara Procopio (+135)
Featherweight: Seung Woo Choi (+200) vs. Youssef Zalal (-250)
Featherweight: Ode Osbourne (-185) vs. Jerome Rivera (+155)
Odds & Card Subject to Change - Updated 2.4.21
